Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pachuca		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3	3.56	2.42
	2.99	3.58	2.29	Watch
	3.03	3.54	2.28	Watch
	3.05	3.5	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
31.3%

Draw
27%

New York Red Bulls
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	28.6%	50%

Pachuca - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 22. Cabral G. 2. Barreto S. D. 8. Gonzalez B. 5. Pedraza P. 6. Deossa N. 27. Gonzalez O. 26. Bautista A. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.	31. Carlos Coronel (G) 12. Nealis D. 15. Nealis S. (C) 4. Reyes A. 6. Duncan K. 19. Carmona W. 48. Donkor R. 75. Edelman D. 9. Morgan L. 11. Elias Manoel 13. Vanzeir D.
Substitutes
3. Aceves A. 189. Aguayo S. 190. Alvarez G. 9. Baston B. 35. Berlanga J. 13. Calzadilla L. 191. De Los Rios S. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 14. Gonzalez A. 10. Mena A. 33. Micolta A. 32. Sanchez C.	3. Eile N. 2. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 18. Meara R. (G) 23. O'Connor A. 35. Odle D. (G) 66. Rosborough T. 65. Sserwadda S. 42. Valencia O.
Coaches
Almada G.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Nealis D. 🟨,
15', Vanzeir D. 🟨,
40', Duncan K. 🟨,
40', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
45', Pedraza P. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Reyes A. ↓, Eile N. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Elias Manoel ⚽, Morgan L. (A),
56', 1 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Gonzalez O. (A),
57', Bautista A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
57', Gonzalez O. ↓, De Los Rios S. ↑,
70', Elias Manoel 🟨,
74', Rodriguez L. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
74', Idrissi O. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
88', Vanzeir D. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
89', Deossa N. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Eile N. (Pen),
1, Rondon S. (Pen),
2, Nealis S. (Pen),
2, Cabral G. (Pen),
3, Carmona W. (Pen),
3, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
4, Elias Manoel (Pen),
4, Mena A. (Pen),
5, Morgan L. (Pen),
5, Deossa N. (Pen),
6, Nealis D. (Pen),
6, De Los Rios S. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

NY Red Bulls could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

NY Red Bulls will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Ngoma S. (Knee Injury) Stroud P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Forsberg E. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.24	UNAM - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Pachuca - Atlético San Luis	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Club León - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Pachuca - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.06.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTLW
- New York Red Bulls
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
20.07.24	New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
17.07.24	New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTT

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