Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)

Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Detroit City

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.39	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	5.8	4.4	1.39
	6.83	5	1.41
	6.35	4.6	1.38	Watch
	6	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.25 ↑ (6.05)	4.58 ↓ (4.65)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
14.6%

Draw
19.9%

Detroit City
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

19.7%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18.9%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

New York Red Bulls 2 - Detroit City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Detroit City will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit City: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (97.77%), has project points - 16, has currently - 14, has not chance of playoffs.

Detroit City has the most likely position - 6 (32.53%), has project points - 57, has currently - 49, was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 1, very small match rating 4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Detroit City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Detroit City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
17.09.22	Oakland Roots - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami	1:7 ✺
03.09.22	Charleston Battery - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	3:3 ✺
28.08.22	Birmingham Legion - New York Red Bulls 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
17.09.22	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	0:3 ✺
20.08.22	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0

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