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Current Win Probability
Miami 18%
Draw 21.6%
Louisville City 60.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
20%
62.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
18.4%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Miami - Louisville City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 8. Romero M. 12. Ndiaye B. 4. Calfo A. 13. Knutson D. 21. Milesi A. 7. Tunbridge M. 22. Da Costa R. 5. Tori R. 9. Sonora J. 10. Locadia J.
1. Fauroux H. (G) 4. Totsch S. 24. Jones J. 32. Adams K. 15. Perez E. 27. Davila E. 8. Davila T. 2. McFadden A. 7. Serrano R. 9. Donovan C. 25. Wilson J.
Substitutes
35. Bent B. 34. Celdran T. 18. Diallo M. 16. Diaz G. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 27. Ndongo M. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 6. Tulu
13. Dia A. 12. Faundez D. (G) 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 3. Morris J. 19. Niang B. 14. Showunmi T.
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Bird S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Calfo A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Locadia J. ⚽, Romero M. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Locadia J. ⚽, Tunbridge M. (A),
40', Romero M. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
41', 2 - 1, Donovan C. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Tunbridge M. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
57', McFadden A. 🟨,
60', Musto T. 🟨,
65', Serrano R. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
65', Da Costa R. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
65', McFadden A. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Adams K. (Own goal),
73', Davila E. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
73', Sonora J. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Showunmi T. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
83', 4 - 2, Locadia J. ⚽,
84', Perez E. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
84', Adams K. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
86', Room E. 🟨,
89', 4 - 3, Donovan C. ⚽, Huerman Q. (A),
90', Milesi A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Miami - the odds 5.24 are the expected chance of winning is 17.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Usa
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Room E. (G) 
Romero M. 
Ndiaye B. 
Calfo A. 
Milesi A. 
Tunbridge M. 
Da Costa R. 
Tori R. 
Fauroux H. (G) 
Adams K. 
Bent B. 
Diaz G. 
Ndongo M. 
Rodriguez F. (G) 
Tulu 
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