Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 19

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne)

Referee: Williams C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Canberra United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.54	4.1	4.8
	1.52	4.59	5.4
	1.54	4.42	5.26	Watch
	1.62	4.51	4.34	Watch
	1.54	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.29 ↑ (4.28)	4.87 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
59.5%

Draw
21.5%

Canberra United
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

21.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Western United - Canberra United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 15. Taranto A. 9. Eggesvik S. 6. Logarzo C. (C) 20. Hieda K. 34. Zimmerman C. 28. Dehakiz I.	1. James S. (G) 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 5. Ayson M. 11. Robers E. 12. Taylor-Young H. 23. Heyman M. (C) 25. Malone D. 21. Keane A. 17. Markovski M. 13. Christopherson S.
Substitutes
22. Cerne A. 1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 11. Ibarguen S. 16. Taranto M.	28. Bertolissio T. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 4. Murray H. 9. Nathan R. 10. Stanic-Floody M.
Coaches
Smith K.	Jagarinec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gordon B. ⚽, Heyman M. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
48', Christopherson S. ↓, Bertolissio T. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Hieda K. ⚽, Taranto A. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Ayson M. ⚽, Malone D. (A),
56', Keane A. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
60', Markovski M. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Zimmerman C. ⚽,
64', 2 - 3, Stanic-Floody M. ⚽,
66', Hieda K. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
77', Markovski M. ↓, Nathan R. ↑,
82', 3 - 3, Ibarguen S. ⚽,
85', Zimmerman C. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
85', Ibarguen S. 🟨,
89', 4 - 3, Ayson M. (Own goal),
90+1', James S. 🟨,
90+3', Eggesvik S. ↓, Taranto M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

Western United is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Canberra United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Western United have a series of guest games.

In this match Western United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 2.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
07.03.25	Perth Glory - Western United	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sydney FC - Western United	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Melbourne City - Western United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWL
- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
09.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Canberra United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Adelaide United - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Canberra United - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
11.01.25	Canberra United - Western United	2:1
01.03.24	Western United - Canberra United	4:2
30.12.23	Canberra United - Western United	1:1
25.03.23	Western United - Canberra United	0:3
27.01.23	Canberra United - Western United	0:5

Western United - Canberra United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide