Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)


	Newells Old Boys		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.9
	1.9	3.2	4.4
	1.94	3.36	4.27
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.96	3.42	3.88	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.89)	4.04 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
48.3%

Draw
28.4%

Audax Italiano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audax Italiano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audax Italiano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	16%	16%

Newells Old Boys - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Barlasina W. (G) 14. Mendez A. 19. Mansilla F. 25. Velazquez G. 21. Vangioni L. 22. Portillo M. 34. Sotelo D. 43. Montenegro L. S. 16. Reasco D. 27. Tica J. 17. Giani J.	12. Ahumada T. (G) 7. Fernandez N. 2. Labrin C. 4. Bosso Torres O. 28. Cereceda R. 10. Fuentes M. 15. Juarez F. 21. Diaz M. 20. Hachen G. 9. Sosa G. 19. Rios G.
Substitutes
18. Aguirre B. 47. Balzi G. 49. Contrera J. 7. Gomez I. 1. Hoyos L. (G) 23. Martino A. 42. Ortiz G. 8. Perez P. 28. Recalde J. 24. Rossi G. 13. Sforza J. 26. Sordo R.	14. Alvarez G. 18. Collao M. 17. Matus E. 27. Monreal D. 1. Munoz J. (G) 29. Pereira S. 11. Riveros L. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 8. Sepulveda M.
Coaches
Heinze G.	Marcogiuseppe L.

Preview

Newell's Old Boys is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax Italiano in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Newell's Old Boys is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
12.06.23	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	Santos - Newells Old Boys	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Newells Old Boys - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWTW
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Cup
22.06.23	Audax Italiano - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.06.23	Blooming - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Audax Italiano - Santos	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
19.05.23	Audax Italiano - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Audax Italiano - Newells Old Boys	0:1

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