The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 27.2%
Draw 32.3%
Newells Old Boys 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
32.2%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
32.5%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
30%
70%
Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Monetti F. (G) 29. Lopez E. 15. Calcaterra D. 2. Insaurralde J. 27. Hernandez E. 33. Diaz G. 11. Monaco M. 6. Godoy F. 26. Arismendi Y. 28. Gho J. 7. Lopez L. (C)
12. Macagno R. (G) 14. Mendez A. 25. Velazquez G. 21. Vangioni L. (C) 23. Martino A. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 22. Fernandez J. 35. Jaime M. 36. Fernandez E. 44. Gonzalez F. 99. Ramirez I.
Substitutes
25. Amarilla A. 23. Azcurra D. 14. Ferreyra F. 19. Fontana A. 30. Gallardo D. 36. Gallardo N. 4. Garnier Y. 16. Guasone J. 24. Molina Avalos A. 1. Pourtau J. (G) 10. Quiroga S. 20. Quiroz M.
18. Aguirre B. 3. Banos L. 16. Calderara B. 38. Chiaverano G. 1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 9. May G. 19. Miljevic M. 20. Schor I. 4. Schott A. 28. Tirado F.
Coaches
Damonte I.
Larriera M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Lopez L. ↓, Ferreyra F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez E. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
48', Diaz G. 🟨,
50', Jaime M. 🟨,
62', Diaz G. ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
62', Gho J. ↓, Gallardo N. ↑,
66', Fernandez J. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
66', Jaime M. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
67', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
70', Fernandez E. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
72', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
73', Ramirez I. 🟨,
75', Mendez A. 🟨,
77', Quiroga S. 🟨,
78', Calcaterra D. ↓, Molina Avalos A. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Ramirez I. (Pen),
85', Gonzalez F. ↓, Schott A. ↑,
85', Ramirez I. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
90+3', Godoy F. 🟨,
90+6', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 3.
Recent matches Sarmiento de Junín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newells Old Boys is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newells Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Newells Old Boys have a series of home games.
Newells Old Boys will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento de Junín won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.