Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Newells Old Boys		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	2.55	3.05	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.81	3.19	2.67
	2.8	3	2.62	Watch
	2.67	3.2	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.06)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.58 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
34.1%

Draw
30.1%

Libertad Asuncion
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

19.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Newells Old Boys - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Newell's Old Boys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newell's Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.21	Atlético Goianiense - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:3 ✺
04.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Libertad Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLW

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