The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 23.7%
Draw 27.2%
AFC Wimbledon 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
23.7%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.6%
25.5%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.2%
11.5%
69.2%
Newport County - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Carney J. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. (C) 6. Brennan C. 4. Baker M. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 11. Antwi C. 17. Evans K. 14. Whitmore K. 7. Kamwa B. 25. Hudlin K. 21. Spellman M.
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 33. Ogundere I. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 41. Hutchinson S. 10. Kelly J. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
5. Clarke J. 10. Greaves O. 23. Jameson K. 31. Jephcott L. 27. Kargbo H. 16. Miley J. 36. Webb L. (G)
2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 21. Hippolyte M. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 19. Sawyers R. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Jardim N.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Harbottle R. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Kelly J. ⚽,
54', Tilley J. 🟨,
56', Kelly J. 🟨,
61', Hudlin K. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
77', Whitmore K. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
77', Spellman M. ↓, Greaves O. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Sawyers R. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
80', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
84', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
90', McLoughlin S. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Greaves O. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Newport have a series of guest games.
In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
United-kingdom
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Carney J. (G) 
McLoughlin S. (C) 
Baker M. 
Kamwa B. 
Johnson R. 
Hippolyte M. 
Sasu A. 
Sawyers R. 
Jardim N. 
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