Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.5	4.4	5.75
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.46	4.76	6.92
	1.46	4.77	6.92
	1.44	4.5	5.8
	1.47	4.65	6	Watch
	1.48	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	4.56 ↓ (4.68)	6.25 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wrexham
64.2%

Draw
20.7%

Newport County
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 19. Mendy J. 15. O'Connell E. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 30. Jones J. 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 18. Dalby S. 10. Mullin P.	1. Townsend N. (G) 17. Bennett S. 5. Clarke J. 4. Delaney R. (C) 20. Charsley H. 8. Morris B. 24. Wildig A. 19. McLoughlin S. 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 7. Evans W. 9. Bogle O.
Substitutes
27. Bickerstaff J. 32. Cleworth M. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 14. Forde A. 21. Howard M. (G) 8. Young L.	. Baker M. 33. Bondswell M. 26. Maxted J. (G) 2. Payne L. 18. Rai K. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Coughlan G.

Preview

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Newport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
16.12.23	Wrexham - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Wrexham - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Wrexham - Morecambe	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTW
- Newport County
English League Two
16.12.23	Newport County - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Barnet - Newport County	1:4 ✺
English League Two
09.12.23	Tranmere Rovers - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Newport County - Barnet	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Morecambe - Newport County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.12.18	Newport County - Wrexham	4:0
01.12.18	Wrexham - Newport County	0:0
English National League
05.05.13	Wrexham - Newport County	0:2
04.01.13	Newport County - Wrexham	1:1
01.09.12	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0
24.04.12	Newport County - Wrexham	N/A

Upcoming Matches