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Current Win Probability
Southend United 23.3%
Draw 27.1%
Mansfield Town 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.1%
27.1%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
22.8%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.2%
13.8%
69%
Southend United - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Mansfield will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 52.2% – 85.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Southend has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mansfield has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Southend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mansfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mansfield is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.