Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Port Vale		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.82	3.5	4.65
	1.84	3.25	4.4
	1.95	3.39	4.5
	1.8	3.25	4.6
	1.91	3.5	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)	4.54 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
51.2%

Draw
27.9%

Southend United
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

17.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Port Vale - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Port Vale has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southend have a series of home games.

In this match Port Vale is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
26.01.21	Scunthorpe United - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
23.01.21	Port Vale - Walsall	1:3 ✺
16.01.21	Forest Green Rovers - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Sunderland - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
English League Two
09.01.21	Port Vale - Grimsby Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW
- Southend United
English League Two
26.01.21	Southend United - Bradford City	1:3 ✺
23.01.21	Southend United - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
19.01.21	Southend United - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
16.01.21	Grimsby Town - Southend United	0:0 ✺
09.01.21	Southend United - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
31.10.20	Southend United - Port Vale	0:2
English League One
04.03.17	Southend United - Port Vale	1:1
13.08.16	Port Vale - Southend United	2:0
26.02.16	Port Vale - Southend United	3:1
10.10.15	Southend United - Port Vale	1:0
English League Two
09.03.13	Port Vale - Southend United	1:2
10.11.12	Southend United - Port Vale	0:0

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