Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)


	Newtown		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.6	3.25	2.38
	2.7	3.67	2.38
	2.68	3.56	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.71	3.38	2.35
	2.6	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↓ (3.65)	2.38 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
34.4%

Draw
27.2%

Barry Town United
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newtown's performance.

Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barry Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newtown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barry Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newtown - Barry Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hulbert O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
71', Hulbert O. ↓, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↑,
77', Tahra W. ↓, Hollinshead T. ↑,
79', Richards E. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
81', Rainbird J. 🟨,
84', Evans R. ↓, Torry D. ↑,
89', Yorwerth J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 3.

Newtown has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barry Town is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Newtown won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:24 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:11 (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.02.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Newtown - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
14.01.25	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	The New Saints - Newtown	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Flint Town United - Newtown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.02.25	Barry Town United - Flint Town United	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Barry Town United - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
31.12.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	Newtown - Barry Town United	2:4
26.08.24	Barry Town United - Newtown	1:2
06.01.24	Barry Town United - Newtown	4:0
16.09.23	Newtown - Barry Town United	2:0
04.12.21	Newtown - Barry Town United	2:1
02.10.21	Barry Town United - Newtown	0:3
21.11.20	Barry Town United - Newtown	0:0

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