The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barry Town United 44.7%
Draw 27.7%
Haverfordwest County 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
26.2%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
27.9%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barry Town United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-4%)
Barry Town United - Haverfordwest County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 23. Barton D. 6. Davies K. 2. George M. (C) 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 6. Bacon J. 10. Hawkins D. 19. Kenniford K. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G. 22. Wilson J.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 50. Case J. M. 17. Cuddihy O. 32. Norris J. 38. Patten K. 14. Smith D. 1. Thomas J. (G)
23. Hughes W. 24. Humphreys I. 20. Jones O. 11. Makwiramiti P. 31. Rees L. (G) 44. Thomas H. 21. Watkins A.
Coaches
Legg A.
Pennock T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hulbert O. ⚽,
26', Bacon J. 🟨,
43', Barton D. 🟨,
44', Shephard C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', George M. 🟨,
64', Wilson J. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Walters G. ⚽,
76', McCarthy K. ↓, Makwiramiti P. ↑,
78', Williams E. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
78', Barton D. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Patten K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ahmun B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Margetson B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rees D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Davies K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Abbruzzese R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sainty C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 3.
Barry Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Haverfordwest is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Barry Town could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
United-kingdom
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Ratcliffe G. (G) 
Hulbert O. 
Makwiramiti P. 
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