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Current Win Probability
Barry Town United 45.8%
Draw 27.9%
Haverfordwest County 26.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
25.5%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
21.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Barry Town United - Haverfordwest County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 8. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 7. Daley N. 6. Davies K. 20. Dugan E. 2. George M. 16. Lester J. 4. Sainty C. 21. Shaw J. 3. Williams E.
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. 8. Shephard C. 16. Twose C. 25. Walker J. 18. Walters G. 22. Wilson J.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 9. Crosbie J. 18. Jackson C. (G) 11. Schwank R. 14. Smith D. 23. Spence S.
6. Bacon J. 23. Hughes W. 20. Jones O. 30. Myers L. (G) 15. Owen J. 14. Phillips B. 7. Watts R.
Coaches
Legg A.
Pennock T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Lester J. 🟨,
31', Wilson J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Abbruzzese R. ⚽,
45+1', McCarthy K. 🟨,
45+2', George M. 🟨,
45+4', Dugan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wilson J. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
48', Daley N. 🟨,
59', Dugan E. ↓, Crosbie J. ↑,
60', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
71', Barton D. 🟨,
76', Barton D. ↓, Spence S. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Shephard C. ⚽,
80', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Daley N. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Ahmun B. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
89', Twose C. ↓, Watts R. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 13th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 3.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barry Town holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:28 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barry Town against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).
United Kingdom
Wales
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Ratcliffe G. (G) 
Dugan E. 
Lester J. 
Walker J. 
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