Match Info

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 27

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)

Referee: Harman J. (Wal)


	Barry Town United		Pen-y-Bont

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	2.02	3.35	3.35
	2.01	3.44	3.63
	1.96	3.59	3.63	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.7
	1.85	3.28	3.93
	1.67	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	3.35 ↓ (3.75)	3.7 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
48.1%

Draw
27.2%

Pen-y-Bont
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barry Town United's form might have worsened.

Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Barry Town United - Pen y Bont Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 6. Davies K. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 38. Patten K. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. (C) 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.	24. Matthews A. (G) 21. Baker A. 16. Borge B. 10. Cann E. 6. Davies M. 29. Green C. 2. Ludvigsen K. 3. Owen K. (C) 8. Pritchard O. 9. Venables C. 5. Woodiwiss J.
Substitutes
23. Barton D. 19. Bernard J. 17. Cuddihy O. 35. Masrani L. (G) 32. Norris J. 14. Smith D. 15. Wharton T.	1. Armstrong L. (G) 18. Coe P. 33. Cvetkovic A. 11. Daley N. 14. Phillips I. 17. Warlow O. 7. Wood N.
Coaches
Jenkins S.	Griffiths R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Baker A. 🟨,
15', Sainty C. 🟨,
35', Patten K. 🟨,
35', Green C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ludvigsen K. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
46', Patten K. ↓, Wharton T. ↑,
54', Owen K. 🟨,
55', Baker A. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Owen I. ⚽,
64', Green C. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
64', Owen K. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
65', Owen I. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
70', Venables C. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
73', Williams E. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
73', Sainty C. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.

Barry Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pen-y-Bont's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barry Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barry Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Penybont: 7.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22:10	12	27
4	Barry	12	8	1	3	27:20	7	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh League Cup
28.02.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.02.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
31.01.26	Rhyl - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWWLL
- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.02.26	Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	6:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
09.12.25	Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United	1:1
22.08.25	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	2:3
26.12.24	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	1:2
Welsh League Cup
22.10.24	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	3:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.10.24	Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United	4:1
29.03.24	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	0:0
10.02.24	Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United	2:2

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