Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)


	Newtown		Brickfield Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.85	5.15
	1.38	5.42	7.15
	1.75	3.15	5.38	Watch
	1.34	4.9	6.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.3)	4.58 ↓ (5.5)	6.1 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
64%

Draw
20.6%

Brickfield Rangers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

15.7%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newtown's form might have worsened.

Brickfield Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newtown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brickfield Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Newtown - Brickfield Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Russell K. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Williams M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Hyne J. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Torry D. ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, Edwards J. (Own goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Newtown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brickfield is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brickfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Newtown is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newtown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rhyl - Newtown	2:5 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Llandudno - Newtown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Brickfield Rangers
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Guilsfield - Brickfield Rangers	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Brickfield Rangers - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Flint Mountain - Brickfield Rangers	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Brickfield Rangers	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Brickfield Rangers - Llandudno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.16	Brickfield Rangers - Newtown	4:5

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