Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)

Referee: Davies S. (Eng)


	Newtown		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.36	3.4	2.8
	2.49	3.3	2.8
	2.47	3.35	2.77	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.38	3.44	2.65
	2.36	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)	3.36 ↓ (3.68)	2.74 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
38.7%

Draw
27.5%

Flint Town United
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

24.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Newtown - Flint Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwarzer J. (G) 8. Evans R. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 4. Martin D. 37. Reid R. 22. Smith C. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. (C) 14. Williams A. 31. Williams C.	1. Flint J. (G) 3. Burke M. 33. Collins B. 24. Fofana S. 8. Hughes B. 11. Jones J. 18. Lee I. 5. Owen H. (C) 7. Phillips J. 9. Reeves E. 10. Wynne B.
Substitutes
20. Harries J. 33. Hollinshead T. 26. Rainbird J. 23. Sharp O. 18. Tahra W. 12. Torry D. 13. Ussher S. (G)	45. Brick K. 15. Lambert I. 14. Maire G. 4. Mariette L. 20. Simmonds O. 54. Sumner L. 13. Szczepaniak D. (G)
Coaches
McKenzie C.	Fowler L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Fofana S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Ismail Z. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Collins B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Evans R. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Reid R. ⚽,
55', Burke M. ↓, Lambert I. ↑,
57', Ismail Z. 🟨,
58', Fofana S. 🟨,
61', Wynne B. ↓, Mariette L. ↑,
68', Collins B. ↓, Simmonds O. ↑,
75', Martin D. 🟨,
76', Reid R. ↓, Sharp O. ↑,
79', Schwarzer J. 🟨,
85', Ismail Z. ↓, Hollinshead T. ↑,
85', Smith C. ↓, Rainbird J. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Reeves E. ⚽,
90+3', Williams A. ↓, Torry D. ↑,
90+6', Sharp O. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Newtown won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:20 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.02.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Newtown - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Newtown - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
14.01.25	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTL
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.02.25	Flint Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
07.02.25	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Barry Town United - Flint Town United	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
01.01.25	Flint Town United - Newtown	2:0
04.10.24	Newtown - Flint Town United	2:4
19.11.22	Flint Town United - Newtown	1:4
19.08.22	Newtown - Flint Town United	0:2
23.04.22	Flint Town United - Newtown	1:1
02.04.22	Newtown - Flint Town United	2:1
18.12.21	Newtown - Flint Town United	2:0

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