Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)


	Flint Town United		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.65	3.85	4.1
	1.66	4.3	4.4
	1.66	4.21	4.46	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.4
	1.61	4.1	4.59
	1.65	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	3.99 ↓ (4.18)	4.32 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Town United
55.7%

Draw
23%

Aberystwyth Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

19.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flint J. (G) 33. Collins B. 24. Fofana S. 8. Hughes B. 11. Jones J. 15. Lambert I. 18. Lee I. 5. Owen H. 7. Phillips J. 9. Reeves E. 10. Wynne B.	21. Osment S. (G) 4. Bradford L. 16. Davies B. 7. Evans J. 9. Flint N. 11. Hartley Z. 17. Huxley C. 8. Lewis I. 27. Patterson R. 6. Thorn J. 2. Walsh L.
Substitutes
2. Beaumont B. 12. Brindley-Peagram H. 3. Burke M. 14. Maire G. 16. Morrison L. 13. Murphy L. (G) 20. Simmonds O.	22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 14. Davies S. 26. Diboe C. 12. Mason T. 23. Sharif A.
Coaches
Fowler L.	Corbisiero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Hartley Z. ↓, Diboe C. ↑,
19', Lewis I. ↓, Sharif A. ↑,
35', Fofana S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fofana S. ↓, Simmonds O. ↑,
50', Lambert I. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Reeves E. ⚽,
54', Simmonds O. 🟨,
62', Lambert I. ↓, Burke M. ↑,
75', Huxley C. ↓, Dafis G. ↑,
75', Diboe C. ↓, Darlington A. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Phillips J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vaasa won 1.

Recent matches Vaasa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KalPa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Vaasa have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vaasa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 49:57 (average 2.5:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vaasa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:24 (average 3:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.02.25	Barry Town United - Flint Town United	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
01.01.25	Flint Town United - Newtown	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.02.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:6 ✺
01.01.25	Haverfordwest County - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
04.12.24	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	3:0
07.09.24	Aberystwyth Town - Flint Town United	0:2
25.03.23	Aberystwyth Town - Flint Town United	1:0
11.02.23	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	5:0
06.01.23	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	1:1
28.10.22	Aberystwyth Town - Flint Town United	2:1
29.10.21	Aberystwyth Town - Flint Town United	1:2

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