Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)


	Newtown		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.7	7.5
	1.26	5.82	6.67
	1.31	5.32	8.07	Watch
	1.26	5.35	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5.55 ↑ (5.32)	7.69 ↓ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newtown
71.7%

Draw
16.4%

Holyhead Hotspur
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.5%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

16.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Newtown - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Torry D. ⚽,
74', 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).

Newtown is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Holyhead has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Holyhead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Holyhead has had a series of home games.

In this match, Newtown is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
10.10.25	Newtown - Brickfield Rangers	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rhyl - Newtown	2:5 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Airbus UK Broughton	2:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTT

Upcoming Matches