Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3.29	2.44
	3.12	3.33	2.34	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.24	3.38	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	3.28 ↓ (3.56)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mallorca
30.7%

Draw
29.1%

Real Sociedad
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	40.7%	44.4%

Mallorca - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mallorca (2.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Real Sociedad (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 10%). Real Sociedad (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 10. Darder S. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 18. Joseph M. 7. Muriqi V. 17. Virgili J.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 11. Guedes G. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Zakharyan A. 18. Soler C. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bergstrom L. (G) 30. Kalumba J. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 15. Luvumbo Z. 2. Morey Bauza M. 8. Morlanes M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Torre P.	7. Barrenetxea A. 38. Beitia L. 6. Elustondo A. 41. Folgado T. (G) 12. Herrera Y. 19. Karrikaburu J. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Soler C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Zakharyan A. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
63', Soler C. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
67', Aramburu J. 🟨,
69', Joseph M. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
79', Mascarell O. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
79', Maffeo P. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
82', Gorrotxategi J. 🟨,
84', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
84', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
84', Virgili J. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
84', Samu Costa ↓, Llabres J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 3.

Mallorca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendez B. (Yellow Cards) Munoz A. (Muscle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mallorca - Betis	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Barcelona - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mallorca - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.02.26	Real Sociedad - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.09.25	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0
12.04.25	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	0:2
17.09.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.02.24	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:2 penalties
Spanish LaLiga
18.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0

Upcoming Matches