Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)


	Niort		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.9
	1.7	3.75	4.33
	1.76	4.01	4.58
	1.7	4.02	4.58
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.7	3.87	4.29	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)	3.84 ↑ (3.42)	4.25 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Niort
54.3%

Draw
24%

Le Mans
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niort's performance.

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Mans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niort that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Niort - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: Niort will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delecroix P. (G) 25. Anaba R. 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 19. Elphege N. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S. 24. Tormin T.	16. Kocik N. (G) 18. Boussaid M. 26. Colas E. 25. Gueye D. 8. Lauray A. 22. Njoh L. 29. Quarshie E. (C) 13. Raghouber U. 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 5. Voyer H.
Substitutes
22. Bakayoko I. R. 21. Bouekou N. 12. Manga L. 40. Mbeubap J. (G) 7. Zemzemi M.	1. Hatfout E. (G) 10. Le Mehaute Y. 9. Rabillard A. 14. Touho M. 15. Vula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Ecuele Manga B. ⚽,
63', Tormin T. ↓, Bouekou N. ↑,
63', Gueye D. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
64', Vargas-Rios H. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
74', Renel S. ↓, Zemzemi M. ↑,
79', Ribelin A. 🟨,
80', Inchaud M. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Bernard Q. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 6).

Niort is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Niort is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
04.05.24	Rouen FC - Niort	4:2 ✺
26.04.24	Niort - Martigues	1:3 ✺
22.04.24	Sochaux - Niort	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Niort - GOAL FC	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Red Star - Niort	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
03.05.24	Le Mans - Cholet	3:3 ✺
26.04.24	Nancy - Le Mans	3:6 ✺
19.04.24	Le Mans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Le Mans - Avranches	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.01.24	Le Mans - Niort	0:2
French Ligue 2
25.10.19	Le Mans - Niort	1:0
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Niort - Le Mans	1:0
French Ligue 2
22.02.13	Niort - Le Mans	2:3
21.09.12	Le Mans - Niort	2:2

Upcoming Matches