The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niort 25.4%
Draw 23.6%
Quevilly 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
27.1%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
28%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Quevilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quevilly's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
36.4%
18.2%
Niort - Quevilly Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Quevilly will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Niort: 16.1% โ 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Michel M. (G) 14. Durivaux D. 18. Matufueni B. 4. Conte I. 2. Bernard Q. 15. Olaitan J. 25. Kabore C. (C) 7. Zemzemi M. 10. Boutobba B. 99. Bentil G. K. 20. Sagna A.
16. Thuram-Ulien Y. (G) 20. Cisse N. 15. Ben Yousseff S. 5. Cissokho T. 22. Loric S. 4. Pierret B. 7. Bangre M. 6. Sidibe K. 17. Sangare G. (C) 19. Camara M. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
22. Bakayoko I. R. 26. Benchama S. 16. Louchet J. (G) 11. Merdji Y. 17. Renel S. 24. Tormin T. 21. Vallier L.
10. Bonnet A. 12. Gbelle G. 1. Lemaitre N. (G) 33. Pionnier T. 23. Smith J. 28. Tshipamba I.
Coaches
Simondi B.
Echoafni O.
Preview
Niort has the most likely position - 20 (100%), project points - 29, currently - 28, already of relegated.
Quevilly has the most likely position - 11 (57.57%), project points - 50, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, not chance of promoted.
This event has small quality23, very small importance0, small match rating11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Niort has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Quevilly is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Quevilly will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.