Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 37

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Guingamp		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.25
	1.55	4.2	5.1
	1.58	4.6	5.39
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	4.21 ↑ (3.5)	5.31 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
60.3%

Draw
22.1%

Niort
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Niort aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Guingamp - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Niort will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Basilio E. (G) 27. Sivis M. 26. Riou M. 22. Mbe Soh L. 25. Gaudin J. 4. Louiserre D. 6. Muyumba T. 29. Livolant J. (C) 18. Courtet G. 20. Picard H. 21. Guillaume B.	1. Michel M. (C) 14. Durivaux D. 5. Kilama G. 4. Conte I. 21. Vallier L. 15. Olaitan J. 26. Benchama S. 17. Renel S. 20. Sagna A. 22. Bakayoko I. R. 24. Tormin T.
Substitutes
28. Barthelme M. 9. El Ouazzani A. 7. Gomis D. 15. Manceau V. 10. Merghem M. 12. Tchimbembe W. 30. Youfeigane D. (G)	99. Bentil G. K. 2. Bernard Q. 10. Boutobba B. 25. Kabore C. 16. Louchet J. (G) 12. Manga L. 11. Merdji Y.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Simondi B.

Preview

Guingamp has the most likely position - 11 (36.19%), project points - 52, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, not chance of promoted.

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (98.37%), project points - 30, currently - 28, already of relegated.

This event has small quality 25, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3.

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Guingamp is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
20.05.23	Guingamp - Metz	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Sochaux - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Guingamp - Laval	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Pau - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLWL
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
20.05.23	Niort - Annecy	2:2 ✺
13.05.23	Bastia - Niort	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Niort - Metz	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Grenoble - Niort	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Niort - Caen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Niort - Guingamp	0:0
Club Friendly
01.07.22	Guingamp - Niort	3:1
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Guingamp - Niort	1:0
18.09.21	Niort - Guingamp	2:0
15.05.21	Niort - Guingamp	0:2
22.08.20	Guingamp - Niort	0:1
18.10.19	Niort - Guingamp	0:0

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