Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 34

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Metz

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.36	Watch
	7.5	5	1.37
	7.5	4.5	1.38
	8.98	4.93	1.38
	8.5	4.75	1.33
	8.3	4.95	1.36	Watch
	8	4.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↑ (4.49)	4.83 ↑ (3.4)	1.36 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
11.7%

Draw
19.5%

Metz
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.3%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.4%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Niort - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (94.72%), project points - 31, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.

Metz has the most likely position - 3 (68.01%), project points - 68, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (32%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 34, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 0.

Niort has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Niort won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
29.04.23	Grenoble - Niort	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Niort - Caen	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Valenciennes - Niort	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Niort - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Saint-Étienne - Niort	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
29.04.23	Metz - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Saint-Étienne - Metz	1:3 ✺
15.04.23	Metz - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Metz - Laval	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Metz - Niort	0:0
15.03.19	Niort - Metz	0:3
19.10.18	Metz - Niort	3:0
01.04.16	Metz - Niort	2:0
06.11.15	Niort - Metz	1:1
31.01.14	Niort - Metz	2:0
23.08.13	Metz - Niort	1:1

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