Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.47	7.73
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.46	4.33	7.1	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)	4.19 ↑ (3.68)	6.89 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
64%

Draw
22.4%

Niort
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Bastia - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Bastia will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Bastia has the most likely position - 4 (25.55%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (97.04%), project points - 31, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 25, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bastia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niort has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bastia is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Laval - Bastia	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Bastia - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dijon - Bastia	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Bastia - Annecy	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTWL
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Niort - Metz	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Grenoble - Niort	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Niort - Caen	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Valenciennes - Niort	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Niort - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.08.22	Niort - Bastia	1:4
19.04.22	Niort - Bastia	1:1
20.11.21	Bastia - Niort	2:0

Bastia - Niort: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide