Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Duinwetering (Noordwijk)


	Noordwijk		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	7	5.25	1.36
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	7	4.75	1.42
	5.53	5.07	1.41
	6.88	4.95	1.39	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	6.67	4.85	1.41
	7	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.51 ↑ (6)	4.85 ↑ (4.5)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noordwijk
14.3%

Draw
19.2%

Dordrecht
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

20.1%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.1%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noordwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Noordwijk - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Noordwijk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schol B. (G) 40. Rietveld D. 20. Neto 6. Nhoca Barbosa J. 26. Bosma S. 8. Franken B. 15. da Fonseca G. 25. Roep A. 31. Wendt E. 18. Marbus R. 14. Bakour M.	63. Biai C. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 3. Valk S. 15. M'Bemba Y. 2. Codutti L. 6. van Vianen D. 21. Shein R. R. 28. Slory J. 20. van der Sluijs J. 7. Osundina K. 19. Zandbergen D.
Substitutes
46. Antonioli R. (G) 19. Bakker D. 16. El Kharbachi M. 10. Reemnet R. 3. Reinders D. 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 9. van Staveren N. 4. Vink M. 22. Zethof T.	17. Akmum R. 22. Amuzu J. 13. Baltussen T. (G) 27. Ezeb J. 5. Hilton J. 24. Igor 14. Olde Keizer C. 8. Parlanti G. 31. Razumejevs V. (G) 10. Schuurman J. 12. Tabiri K. 4. van den Avert J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Codutti L. ↓, Hilton J. ↑,
50', Seydoux L. 🟨,
53', da Fonseca G. 🟨,
63', Roep A. 🟨,
71', Bakour M. ↓, Tjin-Asjoe V. ↑,
71', Roep A. ↓, El Kharbachi M. ↑,
75', Marbus R. ↓, van Staveren N. ↑,
75', Osundina K. ↓, Igor ↑,
75', Zandbergen D. ↓, Schuurman J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Schuurman J. ⚽, van der Sluijs J. (A),
77', Neto 🟨,
82', Franken B. ↓, Reemnet R. ↑,
83', da Fonseca G. ↓, Bakker D. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽,
87', Shein R. R. ↓, van den Avert J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Tjin-Asjoe V. ⚽,
90+4', Tjin-Asjoe V. 🟨,

Preview

Noordwijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dordrecht in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noordwijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dordrecht is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
26.10.24	Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Katwijk - Noordwijk	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Noordwijk - ACV	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Noordwijk - HHC Hardenberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Dordrecht - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	2:3 ✺
04.10.24	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWW

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