Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Seacon - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	VVV-Venlo		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.48	3.55	2.58
	2.61	3.65	2.62
	2.5	3.68	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.52	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.19)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.56 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
37.1%

Draw
26.4%

Dordrecht
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVV-Venlo's form might have worsened.

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

VVV Venlo - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 2. Mokono S. 3. Verheij L. 16. Heise P. 5. de Blok L. 24. Odriss M. 25. Foor N. (C) 27. Kromah L. 8. van Oorschot D. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D.	63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 3. Valk S. (C) 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. 16. Bae S. 25. Vugts S. 11. Afaker M. 18. van Asten R. 7. Venema N. 46. Eduardo Y.
Substitutes
1. Doornbusch T. (G) 20. Eijgenraam J. 45. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 6. Kluskens J. 26. Matoug N. 17. Saddiki D. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 18. van Zijl B. 42. Vullers R. 7. Wehmeyer L.	9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 59. de Bie J. 24. Huitzing G. 20. Igor 14. Pynadath J. 29. Rossi N. 8. Sunderland L. 22. Van de Giessen L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 77. Verdonk S.
Coaches
Uneken P.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Oorschot D. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
39', van Asten R. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
39', Afaker M. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
58', Odriss M. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
60', Heise P. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽,
63', Mokono S. 🟨,
68', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
68', Mokono S. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
74', Venema N. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
74', Vugts S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
83', Foor N. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
84', van Aken J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
90', Carrillo S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.

In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Venlo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G. (Yellow Cards) Davis M. (Yellow Cards) Timber D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
24.11.25	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:4 ✺
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Roda - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Dordrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:0
14.03.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	4:0
18.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	2:3
16.02.24	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:0
08.12.23	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1
17.02.23	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:2
14.10.22	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	0:1

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