Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 16

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Dordrecht		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.8	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.95	3.55
	2.13	3.81	3.09
	1.79	4.01	3.82	Watch
	1.88	3.74	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.74)	3.86 ↓ (3.95)	3.58 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
49.4%

Draw
24.3%

Vitesse
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Dordrecht - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vitesse (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 40%). Vitesse (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coremans T. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. 5. Hilton J. 25. Vugts S. 8. Sunderland L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 7. Venema N. 46. Eduardo Y. 14. Pynadath J.	31. Brull M. (G) 24. Markelo N. 55. Steffen M. 17. Zumberi V. 22. Thenu X. 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 19. Tahaui A. 27. Zonneveld N. 7. Hoogewerf D. 9. Huth E.
Substitutes
11. Afaker M. 16. Bae S. 63. Biai C. (G) 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 27. Ezeb J. 24. Huitzing G. 20. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 18. van Asten R. 77. Verdonk S. 21. Vetkal M.	35. Achouitar O. 5. Bakker J. 20. Bannis N. 2. Bonnah S. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 11. Ranon Y. 29. Rodrigues M. 23. Siecker J. (G) 16. van den Berg C. (G)
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Steffen M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Eduardo Y. (Pen),
21', 1 - 1, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Huth E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', van der Sluijs J. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
63', van Aken J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
64', Codutti L. 🟨,
78', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
78', Vugts S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
78', Zonneveld N. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
78', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
86', Sunderland L. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
88', Thenu X. ↓, Bakker J. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitesse: Buttner A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) van Asten R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 23.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Dordrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Dordrecht - Waalwijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Vitesse - Cambuur	0:4 ✺
31.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Katwijk - Vitesse	2:1 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Vitesse - Roda	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	MVV Maastricht - Vitesse	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.01.25	Vitesse - Dordrecht	0:3
22.10.24	Dordrecht - Vitesse	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
18.04.15	Vitesse - Dordrecht	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.14	Vitesse - Dordrecht	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.14	Dordrecht - Vitesse	2:6

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