The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 33.2%
Draw 24.1%
Dordrecht 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
23.5%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
23.4%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Jong Ajax aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Jong Ajax - Dordrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Kasanwirjo K. 3. Johnson J. 4. van der Lans M. 5. Butera E. 6. Verkuijl M. 8. Peters T. 7. O'Niel D. 10. Chourak N. (C) 11. Wolff K. 9. Konadu D.
1. Coremans T. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. 5. Hilton J. 8. Sunderland L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 21. Vetkal M. 14. Pynadath J. 9. Carrillo S. 29. Rossi N.
Substitutes
23. Abildgaard L. 15. Beekman L. 17. Jetten L. 22. Messori L. 16. Muzungu M. 20. Ouazane Z. 19. Romers T. 12. Setford C. (G) 21. Unuvar E. 18. van der Vaart D.
11. Afaker M. 13. Artic T. (G) 16. Bae S. 24. Huitzing G. 20. Igor 17. Joe T. 15. M'Bemba Y. 7. Venema N.
Coaches
Weijs W.
Kuyt D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Chourak N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', van der Lans M. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
46', Konadu D. ↓, Unuvar E. ↑,
47', Muzungu M. 🟨,
54', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
56', Sunderland L. 🟨,
56', Butera E. 🟨,
59', Rossi N. 🟨,
63', Rossi N. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
64', Vetkal M. ↓, Vugts S. ↑,
64', Verkuijl M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
64', Peters T. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
76', Vugts S. 🟨,
79', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
79', Carrillo S. ↓, Ezeb J. ↑,
81', Wolff K. 🟨,
85', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
90', O'Niel D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Dordrecht: Eduardo Y.
(Yellow Cards)
de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Biai C.
(Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 45:34. (average 2.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Dordrecht - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.47%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.