The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 44.7%
Draw 29.2%
Exeter City 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
28.2%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
27.5%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Northampton Town - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Exeter (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 21. Perkins J. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 23. Taylor T. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 14. Fornah T.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 4. Turns E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Rydel R. 9. Wareham J. 8. Francis E. 6. Brierley E. 2. McMillan J. 19. Cox S. 10. Aitchison J. 14. Niskanen I.
Substitutes
2. Burroughs J. 9. Eaves T. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 18. Forbes M. 10. List E. 6. Willis J. 16. Wormleighton J.
42. Birch G. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 45. Cummins C. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 27. Magennis J. 37. Wilson K. 20. Woodhouse L.
Coaches
Nolan K.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Wheatley E. ⚽, Guinness-Walker N. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Dyche M. ⚽,
43', Cox S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Francis E. ↓, Doyle-Hayes J. ↑,
51', Perkins J. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
57', Cox S. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
65', Wareham J. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
66', McGeehan C. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
66', Wheatley E. ↓, List E. ↑,
72', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Wormleighton J. ↑,
77', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
82', McMillan J. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
82', Rydel R. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
90+3', Magennis J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Exeter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Jacobs M.
(Knock)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Swyer K.
(Knock)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Swinkels S.
(Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Burge L. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
Campbell D. 
Taylor T. 
McGeehan C. 
Fornah T. 
Niskanen I. 
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