The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 25.2%
Draw 29.2%
Lincoln City 45.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
26%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
25.4%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.4%
3.2%
77.4%
Northampton Town - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 18. Forbes M. 4. Campbell D. 2. Burroughs J. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 14. Fornah T. 8. McGeehan C. (C) 19. Wheatley E. 23. Taylor T.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Collins J.
Substitutes
9. Eaves T. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 7. Hoskins S. 10. List E. 21. Perkins J. 6. Willis J. 16. Wormleighton J.
11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 37. Okewoye G. 19. Okoronkwo F. 36. Okoro Z. 12. Ring E.
Coaches
Nolan K.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
42', Towler R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Wheatley E. 🟨,
58', McGrandles C. 🟨,
64', Draper F. ↓, House B. ↑,
64', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
67', Fornah T. 🟨,
76', Wheatley E. ↓, List E. ↑,
76', Burroughs J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
76', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
79', Wickens G. 🟨,
83', Collins J. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
84', Taylor T. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
86', Hamilton E. 🟨,
87', Perkins J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.
Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Montsma L.
(Inactive)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
Jacobs M.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Burge L. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
Forbes M. 
Campbell D. 
Fornah T. 
Taylor T. 
Darikwa T. (C) 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Ring E. 
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