Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Forward Madison		Northern Colorado Hailstorm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.58	3.16	2.62
	2.55	3.24	2.58	Watch
	2.49	3.24	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.53)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
36.2%

Draw
28.4%

Northern Colorado Hailstorm
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Northern Colorado Hailstorm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Colorado Hailstorm than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Forward Madison - Northern Colorado Hailstorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 22. Payne S. 5. Mehl T. 4. Osmond M. (C) 2. Chilaka M. 8. Boyce D. 10. Mesias A. 21. Villalobos J. 25. Sousa F. 17. Gebhard D. 9. Chaney C.	1. Delgado E. (G) 27. Rendon B. 2. Evans B. 14. Yamazaki H. 4. Garcia D. (C) 15. Langlois P. 6. Dietrich J. 19. King B. 30. Martinez I. 7. Gill R. 20. Hoard E.
Substitutes
16. Crull J. 20. Davila A. 19. Galindrez J. 12. McLaughlin G. 6. Murphy J. 7. Prentice W. 99. Sanchez M. (G)	11. Hernandez M. 23. Keegan J. 8. Kwakwa E. 13. Opara L. 66. Powder N. 34. Robles D. 12. Shealy R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, King B. ⚽, Rendon B. (A),
19', Chilaka M. 🟨,
35', Mesias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sousa F. ↓, Crull J. ↑,
46', Gebhard D. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
46', Chilaka M. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
60', Gill R. ↓, Powder N. ↑,
60', Martinez I. ↓, Kwakwa E. ↑,
68', Dietrich J. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
68', King B. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
74', Villalobos J. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
74', Chaney C. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
86', Hoard E. ↓, Opara L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Forward Madison could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Northern Colorado have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Forward Madison won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
24.07.24	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
20.07.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	1:0 ✺
USL League One
03.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
20.06.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Northern Colorado Hailstorm
USL Cup
19.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
USL League One
13.07.24	One Knoxville - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.10.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Forward Madison	4:1
07.10.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Forward Madison	2:0
20.09.23	Forward Madison - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:0
18.05.23	Forward Madison - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:2
20.08.22	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Forward Madison	1:3
30.07.22	Forward Madison - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:1
05.07.22	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Forward Madison	1:2

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