Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Norwich City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.57	3.72	Watch
	2.02	3.71	3.79
	1.37	4.38	9.39	Watch
	1.97	3.64	3.71	Watch
	1.76	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	4.74 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
53.3%

Draw
26%

Wrexham
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Norwich City - Wrexham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Norwich (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 5. Medic J. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 3. Stacey J. 7. Mattsson P. 22. Topic M. 19. Diallo P. A. 10. Jurasek M. 9. Sargent J. (C) 17. Crnac A.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 27. O'Brien L. 47. Longman R. 10. Windass J. (C) 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
48. Adelusi T. 35. Fisher K. 8. Gibbs L. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 24. Makama J. 11. Marcondes E. 15. McConville R. 29. Schwartau O. 16. Wright J.	29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 3. Brunt L. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 37. James M. 7. McClean J. 28. Smith S. 14. Thomason G.
Coaches
Manning L.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Topic M. 🟨,
35', Doyle C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Stacey J. ⚽, Jurasek M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Doyle C. ↓, Brunt L. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
54', 1 - 2, Longman R. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
59', 1 - 3, Windass J. ⚽, Cleworth M. (A),
62', O'Brien L. 🟨,
63', Topic M. ↓, Gibbs L. ↑,
64', Jurasek M. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
64', Crnac A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
66', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
74', Dobson G. 🟨,
75', Windass J. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
76', Diallo P. A. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
83', Kabore I. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Makama J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Norwich is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Knee Injury) Myles E. (Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Kvistgaarden M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Knock) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury) Windass J. (Hamstring Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
13.09.25	Coventry City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Norwich City - Southampton	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Norwich City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Portsmouth - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
13.09.25	Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Wrexham - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Wrexham - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWTL

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