Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Norwich City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.36	3.44	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.5	3.09
	2.28	3.52	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.41	3.44	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	2.98 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
40.5%

Draw
27.7%

Middlesbrough
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	18.7%	31.2%

Norwich City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 5. Medic J. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 3. Stacey J. 22. Topic M. 16. Wright J. 19. Diallo P. A. 17. Crnac A. 11. Marcondes E. 9. Sargent J. (C)	31. Brynn S. (G) 12. Ayling L. 6. Fry D. (C) 5. Jones A. 2. Brittain C. 20. Azaz F. 18. Morris A. 22. Silvera S. 11. Whittaker M. 7. Hackney H. 9. Conway T.
Substitutes
14. Chrisene B. 35. Fisher K. 8. Gibbs L. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 23. McLean K. 27. Schlupp J. 29. Schwartau O.	4. Barlaser D. 10. Burgzorg D. 25. Edmundson G. 23. Glover T. (G) 27. Hansen S. 42. Kante A. 28. McCabe L. 30. Neto Borges 41. Nypan S.
Coaches
Manning L.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
43', 0 - 1, Azaz F. ⚽, Hackney H. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Conway T. ⚽, Morris A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Hackney H. 🟨,
52', Stacey J. ↓, Fisher K. ↑,
58', Wright J. 🟥,
61', Brittain C. 🟨,
67', Whittaker M. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
67', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
67', Crnac A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
67', Marcondes E. ↓, McLean K. ↑,
72', Azaz F. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
80', Cordoba J. ↓, Schlupp J. ↑,
80', Diallo P. A. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Sargent J. ⚽, McLean K. (A),
90', Silvera S. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
90+7', Nypan S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 0.

Norwich is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norwich might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Knee Injury) McLean K. (Ankle Injury) Myles E. (Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Nunez M. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
16.08.25	Portsmouth - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Watford - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Norwich City - Millwall	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Norwich City - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	ADO Den Haag - Norwich City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWT
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
16.08.25	Millwall - Middlesbrough	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers	0:4 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Middlesbrough - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Glasgow Rangers - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.25	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	0:0
27.10.24	Norwich City - Middlesbrough	3:3
06.03.24	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	3:1
24.10.23	Norwich City - Middlesbrough	1:2
14.04.23	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	5:1
12.11.22	Norwich City - Middlesbrough	1:2
30.01.21	Norwich City - Middlesbrough	0:0

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