Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Noteć Czarnków		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.35	4.85
	1.5	4.4	4.9	Watch
	1.54	4.45	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.39)	4.4 ↑ (3.45)	4.87 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
60.5%

Draw
20.8%

Lipno Stęszew
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noteć Czarnków's performance.

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lipno Stęszew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noteć Czarnków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lipno Stęszew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noteć Czarnków - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lipno Stęszew (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Noteć Czarnków is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Września	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWL
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTLL

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