Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Nottingham Forest		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.93	3.4	4.1
	1.95	3.4	4.5
	1.94	3.5	4.33
	1.95	3.49	4.46
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.9	3.48	4.25	Watch
	1.96	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	4.26 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
49.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sheffield United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.3%	6.2%	7.5%

Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 146 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 126 - 86.3%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 11 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 6.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 80.7% – 91.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Turner M. (G) 30. Boly W. 4. Worrall J. (C) 26. McKenna S. 24. Aurier S. 28. Danilo 5. Mangala O. 7. Williams N. 20. Johnson B. 9. Awoniyi T. 10. Gibbs-White M.	18. Foderingham W. (G) 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 12. Egan J. (C) 19. Robinson J. 23. Osborn B. 8. Hamer G. 16. Norwood O. 21. Souza V. 3. Lowe M. 11. Traore B. 32. Osula W.
Substitutes
21. Elanga A. 23. Freuler R. 34. Horvath E. (G) 35. Hwang Ui-Jo 8. Kouyate C. 19. Niakhate M. 15. Toffolo H. 11. Wood Ch. 22. Yates R.	6. Basham C. 35. Brooks A. 1. Davies A. (G) 22. Davies T. 39. Hackford A. 27. Larouci Y. 34. Marsh L. 38. Seriki F. 5. Trusty A.
Coaches
Cooper S.	Heckingbottom P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1.

Nottingham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheff Utd is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Felipe (Injury) Hennessey W. (Knee Injury) Richards O. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Brewster R. (Muscle Injury) Coulibaly I. (Knee Injury) Fleck J. (Calf Injury) Norrington-Davies R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Bogle J. (Knee Injury) Jebbison D. (Muscle Injury) McBurnie O. (Ankle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
12.08.23	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
02.08.23	Nottingham Forest - Rennes	0:5 ✺
30.07.23	PSV Eindhoven - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
27.07.23	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- Sheffield United
English Premier League
12.08.23	Sheffield United - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Sheffield United - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Derby County - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
26.07.23	Sheffield United - Girona	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Rotherham United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.05.22	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United	2:2 penalties
14.05.22	Sheffield United - Nottingham Forest	1:2
04.03.22	Sheffield United - Nottingham Forest	1:1
02.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United	1:1
19.04.19	Sheffield United - Nottingham Forest	2:0
03.11.18	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United	1:0
17.03.18	Sheffield United - Nottingham Forest	0:0

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