Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
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Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Sport 24


	Arsenal		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.36	5	8.5
	1.43	4.9	7.3
	1.37	5.42	8.42
	1.41	4.37	8.02	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.41	4.82	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	4.82 ↓ (5.07)	7.83 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
68.1%

Draw
19.7%

Nottingham Forest
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.5%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.7%	6.2%	5.2%

Arsenal - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (2.09) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (84 of 95 users predict this - 88.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.99% – 94.85%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 35 - 87.5%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 3. Mosquera C. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 23. Merino M. 20. Madueke N. 14. Gyökeres V. 10. Eze E.	26. Sels M. (G) 3. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 4. Morato 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 5. Hincapie P. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 11. Martinelli G. 22. Nwaneri E. 41. Rice D. 19. Trossard L. 4. White B.	29. Bakwa D. 30. Boly W. 12. Douglas Luiz 21. Hutchinson O. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 37. Savona N. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Odegaard M. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Zubimendi M. ⚽,
37', Murillo ↓, Savona N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
60', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
60', Wood Ch. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
61', Calafiori R. 🟨,
68', Calafiori R. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
68', Gyökeres V. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
73', Gibbs-White M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
73', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
78', Williams N. 🟨,
78', Madueke N. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
79', Eze E. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Zubimendi M. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Nottingham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Saliba W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Dominguez N. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Loan agreement)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Norgaard C. (Injury) White B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:1. (average 3.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
17.08.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.25	Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0
23.11.24	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0
30.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:2
12.08.23	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	2:1
20.05.23	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:0
30.10.22	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	5:0
English FA Cup
09.01.22	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:0

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