Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CAPIXABA - ROUND 8

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Nova Venécia		Desportiva Ferroviaria

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.14	4.06
	1.91	3.32	3.82
	1.83	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.53)	3.25 ↓ (3.77)	3.92 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nova Venécia
48.9%

Draw
27.9%

Desportiva Ferroviaria
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Venécia's form might have worsened.

Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desportiva Ferroviaria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Venécia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Nova Venécia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nova Venécia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nova Venécia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Nova Venécia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
26.02.23	Itapemirim - Nova Venécia	0:5 ✺
16.02.23	Nova Venécia - Vitória ES	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Venécia	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Nova Venécia - Serra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
24.02.23	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Serra	0:2 ✺
16.02.23	Estrela do Norte - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	2:2 ✺
07.02.23	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	4:0 ✺
01.02.23	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
10.04.22	Nova Venécia - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:1
03.04.22	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	0:2

Nova Venécia - Desportiva Ferroviaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide