Match Info

Date: 6 January 2021, Wednesday


	Numancia		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.75	2.9	2
	3.55	3.3	2
	3.75	3.05	1.94
	4.1	3.22	2.03
	4	3.1	2.05
	3.78	3.32	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.09)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	2 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
24.3%

Draw
29.5%

Almería
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

22.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Numancia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Almería will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Numancia won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Numancia - Lorca Deportiva	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Burgos - Numancia	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Numancia - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLTT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Almería - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
20.12.20	Espanyol - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	LHospitalet - Almería	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Almería - Málaga	3:1 ✺
09.12.20	Almería - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.20	Numancia - Almería	1:1
24.11.19	Almería - Numancia	2:0
10.02.19	Almería - Numancia	1:0
23.09.18	Numancia - Almería	0:2
28.01.18	Almería - Numancia	0:0
02.09.17	Numancia - Almería	1:0
13.05.17	Almería - Numancia	2:0

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