Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.5
	1.98	3	4.33
	1.94	3.12	3.98	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.75
	2.03	2.95	3.73
	1.95	2.9	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.26)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	3.92 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
45.8%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo A Coruña B
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Deportivo A Coruña B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo A Coruña B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Jony ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Dominguez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 2, Nsongo B. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Numancia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Numancia - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sarriana - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Numancia	0:2
29.09.24	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0

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