Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.37	2.87	3.25
	2.36	2.75	3.15	Watch
	2.46	3	3.54
	2.41	2.91	3.43	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.25
	2.4	3.02	3.3	Watch
	2.36	2.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
39.3%

Draw
32.4%

Carrarese
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Nuova Cosenza - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Guarino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kourfalidis C. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
56', Zilli M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
59', Melegoni F. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Hristov A. ⚽, Ricciardi M. (A),
73', Mazzocchi S. 🟨,
73', Cherubini L. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
74', Schiavi N. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
74', Guarino G. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
80', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
84', Cimino B. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
84', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Sgarbi F. ↑,
90', Caporale A. 🟨,
90+1', Torregrossa E. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Cosenza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carrarese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cosenza: D'Orazio T. (Yellow Cards) Garritano L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Carrarese: Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Knock)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
01.02.25	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.02.25	Carrarese - Brescia	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4 ✺
13.01.25	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Carrarese - Cesena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

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