Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 26

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Juve Stabia		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.85	Watch
	2.21	2.99	4.23
	2.1	3.04	4.08	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
	2.08	3.04	4.05	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.19)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	3.94 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
44.4%

Draw
31.8%

Nuova Cosenza
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: Juve Stabia will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 2. Quaranta D. 45. Peda P. 28. Andreoni C. 55. Leone G. 8. Buglio D. (C) 3. Rocchetti Y. 11. Piscopo K. 27. Candellone L. 9. Adorante A.	1. Micai A. (G) 55. Hristov A. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 5. Gargiulo M. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 9. Artistico G. 7. Garritano L. 21. Zilli M.
Substitutes
13. Baldi M. 7. Dubickas E. 29. Fortini N. 15. Gerbo A. 80. Louati A. 37. Maistro F. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 17. Morachioli G. 98. Mosti N. 18. Sgarbi L. 16. Signorini A. (G)	12. Baldi G. (G) 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 41. Contiero L. 10. Fumagalli T. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 29. Sgarbi F. 23. Venturi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
27', Andreoni C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
31', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
36', Thiam D. 🟨,
36', Kouan C. 🟨,
38', Fortini N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Adorante A. ⚽, Piscopo K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Ruggero M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Adorante A. ⚽,
60', Kouan C. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
60', Ricciardi M. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
66', Zilli M. 🟨,
67', Garritano L. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
68', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
73', Candellone L. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
73', Adorante A. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
76', Zilli M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Fortini N. ⚽,
90', Leone G. ↓, Louati A. ↑,
90', Piscopo K. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 1.

Recent matches Juve Stabia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cosenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Juve Stabia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Fortini N. (Injury) Pierobon C. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cosenza: Florenzi A. (Injury) Rizzo Pinna A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
09.02.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sassuolo - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Palermo - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
08.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:1
31.07.20	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	3:1
29.12.19	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
31.03.18	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	1:2
11.11.17	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:0
19.03.17	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	2:4
30.10.16	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	2:0

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