Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Sampdoria		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.6
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.21	3.07	3.92
	2.19	3.04	3.8	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.25
	2.17	3.12	3.62	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.04)	3.02 ↓ (3.27)	3.6 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
42.7%

Draw
31.1%

Nuova Cosenza
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

21.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampdoria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Perisan S. (G) 5. Riccio A. 25. Ferrari A. 72. Veroli D. 23. Depaoli F. 4. Vieira R. 28. Yepes G. 21. Beruatto P. 20. Oudin R. 33. Sibilli G. 19. Niang M.	1. Micai A. (G) 55. Hristov A. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 5. Gargiulo M. 28. Kouan C. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 34. Florenzi A. 30. Mazzocchi S. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
9. Coda M. 35. Fisher M. 44. Ioannou N. 34. Leonardi S. 11. Pedrola E. 8. Ricci M. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 84. Sekulov N. 1. Vismara P. (G) 31. Vulikic S.	6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 10. Fumagalli T. 7. Garritano L. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 29. Sgarbi F. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.
Coaches
Semplici L.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Florenzi A. 🟨,
26', Vieira R. 🟨,
31', Vieira R. 🟨,
39', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
40', Depaoli F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Depaoli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Oudin R. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
57', Caporale A. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
58', Perisan S. ↓, Vismara P. ↑,
58', Florenzi A. ↓, Garritano L. ↑,
72', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
73', Sibilli G. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
73', Niang M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
73', Ferrari A. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
73', Garritano L. 🟨,
82', Kouan C. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
82', Ricciardi M. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
89', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
90+1', Yepes G. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Cosenza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampdoria will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Bellemo A. (Yellow Cards) Curto M. (Injury) Curto M. (Yellow Cards) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tutino G. (Injury) Venuti L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cosenza: Venturi M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Thigh Injury) Bereszynski B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Brescia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	2:1
23.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	1:2
22.10.23	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	2:0

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