Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.3	Watch
	1.61	4	6.2
	1.75	3.52	4.35	Watch
	1.62	3.92	5.93	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	5.34 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Sampdoria
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Venezia - Sampdoria Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Venezia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 4. Franjic B. 5. Haps R. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 71. Perez K. 8. Doumbia I. 18. Hainaut A. 6. Busio G. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.	1. Ghidotti S. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 25. Ferrari A. (C) 21. Giordano S. 23. Depaoli F. 16. Henderson L. 80. Benedetti L. 72. Barak A. 44. Ioannou N. 10. Cherubini L. 9. Coda M.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 80. Casas A. 32. Duncan A. 7. Fila D. 23. Grandi M. (G) 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 14. Minelli S. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M.	14. Bellemo A. 34. Casalino T. 33. Conti F. 3. Coubis A. 98. Coucke G. (G) 7. Cuni M. 4. Ferri J. 22. Krastev A. (G) 70. Narro V. 5. Riccio A. 18. Venuti L. 31. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Gregucci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Henderson L. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Busio G. ⚽, Doumbia I. (A),
31', Depaoli F. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Hainaut A. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
42', Ioannou N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ioannou N. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
46', Haps R. 🟨,
59', Depaoli F. ↓, Venuti L. ↑,
63', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
63', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Henderson L. ⚽, Coda M. (A),
72', Barak A. ↓, Ferri J. ↑,
76', Giordano S. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Fila D. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
80', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
86', Ferri J. 🟨,
87', Busio G. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
87', Schingtienne J. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
88', Cherubini L. ↓, Casalino T. ↑,
88', Benedetti L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Venezia is the team to beat.

There will not play in Venezia: Compagnon M. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Plizzari A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Coucke G. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Pafundi S. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Sverko M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Catanzaro - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Venezia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sampdoria - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sampdoria - Pescara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Venezia - Sampdoria	5:3
30.08.23	Sampdoria - Venezia	1:2
Italian Serie A
20.03.22	Venezia - Sampdoria	0:2
19.12.21	Sampdoria - Venezia	1:1

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