Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Nuova Cosenza		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.15
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.64	3.54	2.12
	3.46	3.51	2.2
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.38	3.45	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.7)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	2.11 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
27.5%

Draw
27.6%

Parma
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.8%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	22.7%	72.7%

Nuova Cosenza - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Parma will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 13. Meroni A. (C) 23. Venturi M. 6. Fontanarosa A. 3. Rispoli A. 98. Zuccon F. 42. Voca I. 34. Florenzi A. 27. Martino P. 9. Tutino G. 30. Mazzocchi S.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 20. Hainaut A. 3. Osorio Y. (C) 39. Circati A. 26. Coulibaly W. 8. Estevez N. 19. Sohm S. 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 28. Mihaila V. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
17. Cimino B. 19. Crespi V. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Forte F. 12. Lai A. (G) 33. La Vardera S. 77. Marson L. (G) 2. Sgarbi F. 24. Viviani M. 21. Zilli M.	14. Ansaldi C. 4. Balogh B. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 64. Cyprien W. 15. Del Prato E. 77. Di Chiara G. 27. Hernani 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Caserta F.	Pecchia F.

Preview

Cosenza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Parma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Parma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
10.12.23	Parma - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.12.23	Fiorentina - Parma	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
02.12.23	Spezia - Parma	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Parma - Modena	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	1:0
28.08.22	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
02.04.22	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	1:3
21.11.21	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
Coppa Italia
25.11.20	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	2:1

Upcoming Matches