Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 10

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Monterosi		Catania

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.61
	4.75	4	1.63	Watch
	5.91	3.89	1.59
	5.94	3.9	1.58
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	4.95	3.8	1.57
	4.2	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (3.68)	3.86 ↑ (3.21)	1.6 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
18.5%

Draw
23.9%

Catania
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Monterosi's form might have worsened.

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Monterosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.1%	92.9%

Nuova Monterosi - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: Catania will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 25. Altobelli D. 15. Giordani P. 23. Sini S. 20. Bittante L. 18. Parlati S. 7. Di Paolantonio A. 17. Fantacci T. 10. Frediani M. 91. Vano M. 9. Costantino R. (C)	1. Bethers K. (G) 2. Curado M. 26. Lorenzini F. 11. Mazzotta A. 5. Rapisarda F. 33. Zammarini R. 18. Rizzo G. (C) 77. Marsura D. 32. Chirico C. 17. Dubickas E. 10. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
13. Cinaglia D. 28. Conti B. 8. Di Francesco D. 3. Di Renzo A. 11. Ekuban J. 77. Ferreri G. 29. Palazzino F. 21. Perrotta F. 19. Piroli D. 12. Rigon A. (G) 99. Silipo A. 30. Tolomello F. 4. Verde F.	95. Albertoni M. (G) 24. Bocic M. 13. Bouah D. 27. Castellini A. 31. Chiarella M. 21. Ladinetti R. 3. Maffei M. 16. Quaini A. 9. Sarao M. 4. Silvestri T.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Monterosi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Catania is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Catania is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Catania to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterosi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
22.10.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Perugia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.23	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
22.10.23	Catania - Taranto	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Juve Stabia - Catania	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Catania - Latina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Catania - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Casertana - Catania	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.22	Catania - Nuova Monterosi	3:1
24.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Catania	1:4

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