Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tallinna Kalev		FC Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.40	4.20
	1.53	4.25	4.10
	1.45	4.96	4.52
	1.48	4.98	4.64
	1.55	4.55	3.80
	1.68	4.68	3.85
	1.52	4.50	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.62 ↑ (4.33)	4.19 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
58.9%

Draw
19.6%

FC Tallinn
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

20.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Tallinna Kalev - FC Tallinn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Sikk A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Nesterov K. ⚽, Mohhov I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Kalev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

FC Tallinn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kalev is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39:63	-24	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
03.08.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
21.06.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLTW
- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
01.08.26	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	FC Tallinn - Elva	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United U21	4:3 ✺
21.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
14.05.26	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	1:1
15.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - FC Tallinn	5:1
Estonian Cup
05.03.25	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	0:5

Upcoming Matches