Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 30

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Alveal F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	OHiggins		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.73
	1.99	3.47	3.64	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	1.97	3.62	3.55	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	3.6 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
47.3%

Draw
26.8%

Cobreloa
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

OHiggins - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quezada M. (G) 26. Mosevich L. 31. Fernandez V. 14. Diaz J. 3. Faundez F. 6. Fuentes J. (C) 7. Martin Sarrafiore 8. Leiva Y. 18. Buonanotte D. 19. Montecinos J. 9. Castillo A.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 42. Brasil M. 6. Palma N. 4. Tapia B. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 2. Espejo J. 11. Leiva J. 41. Donadell N. 23. Javier Parraguez 7. Insaurralde C. (C) 31. Roco T.
Substitutes
28. Calderon E. 1. Carreno D. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 5. Moya C. 30. Tapia J. 23. Torrealba B. 15. Zapata Y.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 10. Borgnino M. 17. Bravo C. 43. Di Maio L. 33. Fernandez P. 24. Garcia L. 5. Gonzalez R.
Coaches
Fuentes V.	Bravo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Donadell N. ⚽, Espejo J. (A),
13', Faundez F. 🟨,
27', Donadell N. 🟨,
30', Tapia B. 🟨,
31', Mosevich L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Insaurralde C. ⚽, Roco T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montecinos J. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
46', Faundez F. ↓, Torrealba B. ↑,
46', Buonanotte D. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
46', 0 - 3, Roco T. ⚽, Aguila Bastias Y. M. (A),
62', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
63', Castillo A. 🟨,
63', Brasil M. 🟨,
71', Roco T. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
72', Leiva Y. 🟨,
81', Tapia J. ↓, Moya C. ↑,
85', Palma N. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches OHiggins won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

OHiggins will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches OHiggins won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams OHiggins won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
02.11.24	Cobresal - OHiggins	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	OHiggins - Ñublense	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Unión Española - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW
- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
02.11.24	Cobreloa - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	4:1 ✺
07.10.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Everton de Viña - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Cobreloa - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.05.24	Cobreloa - OHiggins	0:4
Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Cobreloa - OHiggins	2:2 penalties
23.06.21	OHiggins - Cobreloa	1:0
Chilean Primera Division
05.02.15	Cobreloa - OHiggins	0:0
16.08.14	OHiggins - Cobreloa	4:1
05.04.14	Cobreloa - OHiggins	2:1
08.11.13	OHiggins - Cobreloa	1:0

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