Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	St. Louis City		Tulsa

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6.1
	1.44	4.56	5.99
	1.45	4.41	5.8	Watch
	1.4	4	5.75
	1.43	4.6	6.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	4.47 ↓ (4.56)	5.84 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
63.9%

Draw
20.4%

Tulsa
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

19.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

St. Louis City - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 5. MacNaughton L. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 14. Totland T. 8. Durkin C. 28. Perez M. 59. Joyner M. 77. Jeong S. 17. Hartel M. 16. Cordova S.	28. Jacomen D. (G) 98. Ian 91. Cissoko A. 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 13. Kocevski J. 44. Somersall R. 12. Stauffer L. 8. Webber J. 17. Sparks B. 7. Cabral R.
Substitutes
24. Edelman D. 27. Fall F. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 7. Ostrak T. 6. Wallem C.	11. Bruno Lapa 25. Clarke A. 2. Damm O. 10. Elmedkhar K. 22. Lukic S. 4. Pierre D. 1. Tambakis A. (G)
Coaches
Damet Y.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Hartel M. ⚽, Totland T. (A),
20', Hartel M. 🟨,
22', Sparks B. 🟨,
34', Joyner M. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Jeong S. ⚽, Burki R. (A),
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ian ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
46', Somersall R. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
47', Pierre D. 🟨,
59', Cissoko A. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Joyner M. ⚽,
63', Sparks B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
63', Cabral R. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
65', Stauffer L. 🟥,
66', Durkin C. ↓, Edelman D. ↑,
66', Hartel M. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
72', Webber J. 🟨,
76', Jeong S. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Ostrak T. ⚽, Polvara D. (A),
78', Cissoko A. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by St. Louis City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tulsa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, St. Louis City is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
11.04.26	FC Dallas - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	New York City - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	St. Louis City - New England Revolution	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
11.04.26	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	San Antonio - Tulsa	0:1 ET ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Little Rock Rangers - Tulsa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWW

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