Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Oldenburg		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.15	3.4	2.1
	3.45	3.45	2
	3.76	3.7	2.01
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.38	3.62	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.85)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
26.9%

Draw
26.8%

Waldhof Mannheim
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.2%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldenburg's form might have worsened.

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waldhof Mannheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waldhof Mannheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Oldenburg - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Waldhof will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waldhof: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Oldenburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Waldhof is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Waldhof could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Waldhof have a series of home games.

Waldhof will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Saarbrücken - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	Oldenburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:5 ✺
30.10.22	Freiburg II - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
17.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Zwickau	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Hallescher - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

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