Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Greif S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Saarbrücken		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.75
	1.58	4	5.25
	1.6	3.9	4.8
	1.57	4	5.1
	1.6	4.37	5.51
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.57	4.2	5.15	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	4.01 ↑ (3.7)	5.1 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
58.9%

Draw
23%

Oldenburg
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Saarbrücken - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Saarbrücken is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oldenburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
06.11.22	1860 München - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Saarbrücken - Meppen	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWL
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
06.11.22	Oldenburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:5 ✺
30.10.22	Freiburg II - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
17.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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